Wednesday, July 30, 2008

Hmmmm


My lady in red (I love you.)
 

CAN A HURRICANE FORM OFF OF AFRICA


I'm just saying....

Tuesday, July 29, 2008

RE: [Four Weather Studs and a Babe!] ANOTHER NON-TROPICAL FEEDER BAND

Stop yelling at me...........
 
LP
 
Subject: ANOTHER NON-TROPICAL FEEDER BAND

Just drove through another non-tropical feeder band from the
non-tropical storm that is not located south of the mouth (of the
Mississippi). Fortunately the following is being said:

"1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INLAND WITH NO DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY."

SO JUST BACK OFF AND STOP TALKING ABOUT THE NON-EVENT!!!

BB

ANOTHER NON-TROPICAL FEEDER BAND

Just drove through another non-tropical feeder band from the
non-tropical storm that is not located south of the mouth (of the
Mississippi). Fortunately the following is being said:

"1. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME LESS ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INLAND WITH NO DEVELOPMENT LATER TODAY."

SO JUST BACK OFF AND STOP TALKING ABOUT THE NON-EVENT!!!

BB

TEST TEST TEST

This is a test of the emergency weather geek channel (I asked for this email weeks ago and didn't get it, so be very afraid!). 
 
HLG

RE: [Four Weather Studs and a Babe!] New comment on FW: SWIRLY THINGY WARNING!.

I think the low-level low (if it's even closed off) is vic Chandeleur Sound/St.Bernard Parish away from the deep convection.  I agree this looks more like MCC.

FW: SWIRLY THINGY WARNING!

OK, screw Big Brother and let's give this a try.

When are we going to learn that there is nothing to see here??? I'm
confident that the NOAA/NWS/NHC/TPC/XYZ will tell us when we need to be
aware of potential tropical storm development. You know as well as I do
that the experts in South Florida are keeping an eye on things and will
be sure to issue a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement letting us
know that we're about to get our arses kicked at least 15 minutes ahead
of time.

Remain calm, there is nothing to see here, only cold-core, non-tropical,
non-feeder band precipitation accompanied by the occasional gusty wind.
All is well.

Wednesday, July 23, 2008

DOLLY



Latest obs from Port Isabel. Not as exciting as watching Cantore standing at the shore, trying to brave the elements - while a teenager behind him tries to get in the camera angle.

Ah.... live tv.

There is a lot of "buzz" amongst the weather studs - and babe! - about Dolly stalling right offshore. Cantore said "That would be a good thing. Hopefully it will dissipate while it is offshore and lessen the impacts to the coast."

No joke.

Tuesday, July 22, 2008

WHAT UP DOLLY?


Buoy Station 42002 - 240 nm South-Southeast of Sabine, TX Image shows that the pressures are increasing - and didn't record any significant winds.

However, there are two items to note:

1. Nicole Mitchell - wore red today - a clear indicator that Dolly will be a hurricane before it strikes Mexico.

2. Jim Cantore is in Port Aransas (?!?!?) - a clear indicator that Dolly will not strike the Texas coast...

BB

Monday, July 21, 2008

HOT LAVA WAS RIGHT!



So give one up for the geographer. It looks like 94L will become a hurricane in a few days - hopefully not a major one. However, we all know how this will play out. The forecasts will be for a tropical storm - and it will become a hurricane. The forecasts will be for a minor hurricane - and it will become a Cat 5.

By the way, Bertha has reformed in the Arctic and is now wrecking havoc in Europe. Expect her to return in a few weeks.

I received an e-mail from a female fan of the blog - yes a Female Fan - who asked for more "cute pictures of KlingFree." Ugghhh...... Give me a freakin' break!!!

BB

Saturday, July 19, 2008

Hurricane Bertha Advisory 561

Bertha REFUSES to Weaken:

Hurricane Bertha formed an eye for the 51st time in is't six month run at history. The longest lived hurricane, now in the history of the universe, formed a new eye just south of London, England. The NHC missed the formation of this new eye, the 7th time in the history of this storm. An un-named source at the NHC was rumored to have said ". . . what are we supposed to do? We only have 6 hurricane specialits, and they each spent a month on this storm. We have lives to live as well! Get over it and call those smart alecs at the UKMET"

Meanwhile there were thirteen other storms active in the Atlantic and the NHC was reporting on two of them.


HLG

American Physical Society Reverses on Global Warming "Causes"

Change of Heart

An organization representing nearly 50,000 physicists has reversed its stance on climate change. The American Physical Society now says that many of its members no longer believe global warming is caused by humans.

The Society previously declared: "The evidence is incontrovertible. Global warming is occurring." But the Society now says there is no scientific consensus to support that statement: "There is a considerable presence within the scientific community of people who do not agree with the intergovernmental panel on climate change conclusion that anthropogenic CO2 emissions are likely to be primarily responsible for global warming

Friday, July 18, 2008

DHO!



While I was enjoying the "Running of the Bulls" video from New Orleans, I decided to take a glance at the tropics. Looks like the swirly thing in the Gulf moved off the East Coast of the Atlantic - yet nary a word from our fellow studs. Hot Lava's Tropical Depression is moving into Central America. The ravishing Capt Nicole sees the tropical mess in the eastern Caribbean as "something to watch" - gotta love her! Then... Bertha - will someone just kill that storm!!!

Well screw the weather - I'm going to see the new movie that is coming out this weekend - it focuses on Bobby Knight's coaching career at Indiana, and is called "The Dark Knight." I heard it is really good!

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

San Fermin in Nueva Orleans 2008

Now this looks like fun - I've never seen Elvis on a chopper follow the bulls of San Fermin. Something Pamplona, Spain might want to try...

BB


San Fermin in Nueva Orleans 2008










Monday, July 14, 2008

INVEST 94 FOR THE RECORD

BuoyBoy made the libelous challenge that HL did not predict, as he said he did, that Bertha would not remain on the steady NHC NW (i.e. CLIMO Track), so let it be completely clear for the record, and any future court proceedings:

Invest 94 currently meets all criteria for a TD. TD #3? The NHC is historically about a day behind on these types of items, so check with them tomorrow.

TD 3 will become, within one week, a major hurricane (i.e. at least Cat-3 for BB) and enter the southern GOM. Stay tuned for further developments.

HLG

INVEST 94



Finally received a Quikscat image of the system at 12 N 45W - and there isn't much of a circulation in the area - but some nice winds. Buoy 41041 is a few hundred miles away from the area but is not seeing much in the way of wind.

Which all beckons the question - why did Nicole Mitchell wear her bright red outfit today? What the heck is she trying to do? Evacuate the entire East Coast?

Hot Lava has decided against posting on the website anymore, for fear that someone might actually try to remember what he supposedly forecasted. He recently took credit for Bertha's stalling near Bermuda - however I can't find any posts to support his claim... for that matter, I can't find any of the weather studs posts lately.

Must be Bastille Day....

BB

Tuesday, July 8, 2008

What is wrong with the TC intensity forecasts?

Bertha was just the latest:

It was a TS when forecast to maybe become one,

Then it was a strong TS when forecast to make weak TS,

Hurricane when .... TS,

and now finally,

MAJOR FREAKING HURRICANE, when forecast for days to max out at maybe a weak 2!

What give?

Also, very nice post on the Francais Weathre Chique, but Miami Weather Babes still rule! Give me the Latina Weather Report anyday!

Monday, July 7, 2008

HURRICANE BERTHA



Great image of Bertha from CIMSS. The GFS is showing some ominous signs of Betha headed towards the Carolina Coast. My brothers at the NHC disagree - and show a hit to Bermuda.

(sing to the tune of Oh where has my little dog gone...)

"Oh where, oh where, are the weather studs?"
"Oh where, o where can they be????"

BB

Friday, July 4, 2008

TROPICAL STORM BERTHA


I'm seeing top winds in the 40 knot category from the latest Quikscat image. We haven't heard from our leader - Larster the Love Guru - but I urge you to look at the latest GFS model run from 6Z this morning. It shows Bertha moving smartly to the west-northwest, and then after recurving sharply to the north another storm forms to the south and moves into the Caribbean.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.cgi?time=2008070406&field=Sea+Level+Pressure&hour=Animation

There is some mischief as well in the Bay of Campeche but nothing that will bother the US.

On another note - for the Four Weather Studs and a Babe site - here is a European Weather Babe - with legs:

Thursday, July 3, 2008

BERTHA - TO BE?


There is still a chance TD 2 could be named before it enters colder waters. Hurricane? NHC isn't taking the "Sparkle bait" - but I'll stick with my bet that it will become the first hurricane of the year.

Hot Lava sent an e-mail informing me of the new graphical layout on the NHC site - I like it, and see it as a bold move for the NHC. Usually, nothing is mentioned unless a storm is developing 48 hours in the future - so hopefully we will see more aggressive tropical forecasts in the future.

By the way, Invest 93 has been identified in the Caribbean. Fortunately, we have some buoys in the area - sentinels of the south.

BB

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Weather Babe!



Now that we have had several weather studs revealed, it't time for geekygirl to post. I would like to caveat that I am a weather babe by marriage and that my background is in rocks (geology) and computers, so I really am a geek and proud of it. In both of these pictures I am on the left, in case anyone has forgotten what I look like..... In my hurricane kit - bikini, surfboard, life ring and margaritas! gg

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

New Member?

Self-Described "Weather Geek" Heads Hurricane Center.

Yes, it's true. This headline caught my eye on the bottom of the front page of today's Picayune Item ... byline Miami. "When hurricanes and tropical storms threaten the US, a self-described 'weather geek' will let the nation know what the dangers are". So, is this the mystery man sitting next to Buoy Boy at the Wx Geek conference that he so proudly posted a picture of??? Although I know it's not, I'm sure since Buoy Boy is a mover and shaker in the halls of our National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, he is sure to have crossed paths with the new leader of the forecaster's turned lynch mob at the Hurricane Center. I hope since he called himself a "geek" that the boys in Miami don't take him out behind the building and beat the crap put of him, then force him to take leave. "Read said that when he took over that he was a little more laid back than Protozoa ... er, I mean Proenza" (I guess this means he lets the boys go out back and smoke a doobie on thier lunch hour). "His hurricane kit contains Ritz Crackers and peanut butter and his son's cell phone plays "Riders on the Storm" when he calls." OMG. I just hope he has the ya ya's to call a storm a storm, no matter what the politically driven puppet masters, I mean forecasters behind the scenes want him to say.

I guess we need to consider extending Mr. Read an invitation to join our closely knit group of stud, duds, and babes.

THE FIRST 2008 ATLANTIC HURRICANE


Larster says that it doesn't matter - that whatever forms in the Tropical Atlantic will curve and that it is too early for Cape Verde storms.

Anyone want to tell that to the Beast - to be named Hurricane Bertha - in the Eastern Atlantic? Let's hear some chatter Weather "sTuds" and a Babe!

Buoy Boy