I think the CPHC will have to put of at least a TS Watch for Hilo, and the east coast of Hawaii by tomorrow. Looking at the sea-surface temps, I think the current decay of the hurricane to a TD by the time it reaches Hawaii is highly unlikely. This is a persistent problem with the intensity models for EastPac storms which are the only frequent storms to move over "tropical" cool waters. The only other ones I can think of are over western Australian waters, and some in the central Atlantic. - HLG
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