Saturday, December 26, 2009

Accuweather calling fro "mega-bomb" East Coast Blizzard for New Years?

New Year's Day Storm--Snow Yes, but Extreme Event as Euro Has?
EURO SHOWS EXTREME EVENT ALONG THE EAST COAST NEWS YEAR'S DAY... STORM THAT COULD RIVAL BLIZZARD IN THE PLAINS... BACK AND FORTH, BACK AND FORTH WE GO ON STORMS...

Is it me, or is it the weather? It seems we are in a pattern of back-and-forth blizzards this month... We started with the blizzard in the Midwest early this month. Mid-month had a blizzard in the mid-Atlantic, and Christmas we are back in the Plains with a blizzard. Now the Euro is suggesting that a blizzard proportional to the one that just happened in the Plains could hit the East Coast on New Year's Day. The NAO forecast values by Jan. 1 are predicted to be the lowest ever since September, and even lower than the blizzard that hit the mid-Atlantic. That makes me wonder if the Euro is really onto something. I do know that it will snow in the mid-Atlantic, and probably will snow from Texas to New England in any case.

Below is the Euro model at the 168 time step. At the 192 time step, the storm is off the east end of Long Island and a Mega Bomb. At 216 time step, the storm is off Nantucket and winding down. So what the Euro is suggesting is the storm creeps up the coast and bombs out, causing snow to fall for three days in many areas. If that does happen, someone will have 30 inches of snow.


Before we get there, snow will hit areas from the Midwest to New England. As the secondary storm develops, NYC to New England will have 1-4 inches of snow Monday into Monday night. In addition to the New Year's Day storm, we have another big storm possible around the 7th. Wow, what a weather pattern...!

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