Looks like the shear environment isn't stopping "Alex" from developing, only slowing it down. The SSTs near the Windwards are all above 30 C.
A) Will "Alex" be named in the next 48 hours?
B) Will the NHC send a plane out there when the center of the disturbance crosses 55 W, sometime before Friday?
C) Will the media hyper-ventilate on speculation about how this will effect the Gulf clean-up?
HLG
1 comment:
No - No - Not this time.
BB
"1. SATELLITE IMAGERY AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
HAS WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL WAVE. IN ADDITION... THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DECREASED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN UNFAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION...AND THERE IS A
LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
NEAR 15 MPH.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BEVEN
NNNN"
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