Monday, November 9, 2009

West Florida

The NHC is warning of a "storm tide", which I guess is the surge, of 3-5 feet. I think that may be conservative, and there will be problems in the Panhandle from people caught off guard. Looks like MS coast got the lucky card on this storm. Yea!!! HLG

"A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE COAST NEAR AND TO THE
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES." NHC

Bad Timing on NW Florida Radar Repairs! (should be back up next week)

000
NOUS64 KMOB 042037
FTMEVX
Message Date: Nov 04 2009 20:37:58

KEVX WSR-88D IS DOWN FOR MAJOR MECHANICAL REPAIRS ON THE RADAR PEDESTAL. ESTIMAT
ED TIME TO RETURN TO SERVICE WILL BE 16 NOVEMBER.

Quikscat Pass from Nov 9, AM


Very nic Quikscat pass covering "IDA" this morning. Lots of 50 knot flags in the wind-contaminated, enough to make you think there is a large area of 50 plus, mostly northeast of the storm. Of course scat-science doesn't accurately measure anything above 50 knots, so that is a lower limit. - HLG

Now that Saints Game is Over NOHSEP Makes "IDA" Statement

I guess all the Saints fans got into work late with a slight hangover, because I just received the first "NOLA Alert" email regarding "IDA". Now, what is the point spread against the Rams on Sunday? - HLG



The City of New Orleans Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (NOHSEP) continues to closely monitor the progress of Tropical Storm Ida, as well as, the other atmospheric factors that will contribute to the path of the storm.

Today, LtCol. Jerry Sneed, Director of NOHSEP, participated in a conference call meeting with the Governor's Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Preparedness (GOHSEP) as well as the National Weather Service to discuss the potential weather threats.

Ida, recently downgraded to tropical storm status, is approximately 275 miles South, Southeast of New Orleans traveling North, Northwest at 16 miles per hour. Maximum sustained winds are 80 miles per hour. Ida has weakened due to influence of cooler Gulf waters and wind shear. Tropical Storm winds (39mph and higher) are expected in the lower part of Plaquemines Parish starting at 11a.m., and are expected to reach the New Orleans Metro area between noon and 3 p.m. Rainfall is expected to reach 2-3 inches with 4 inches possible in some areas. Tides are expected to reach 3-5 feet above normal on eastern facing shorelines, and 2-4 feet above normal in Lake Pontchartrain.

Based on the current storm predictions, NOHSEP is not anticipating any requirement for evacuation in response to this weather event. However, citizens are encouraged to:

Prepare homes for a possible wind event
Check trees and shrubbery, and remove any limbs that could damage your home
Secure any items in your yard that might tear loose or blow away, including garbage cans, grills, potted plants, garden tools, toys, signs, porch furniture, awnings, etc.
Small water craft should return to port and/or seek safe harbor.
NOHSEP recommends that citizens stay informed about the threat by listening to NOAA Weather Radio, commercial radio, and television for the latest WATCHES and WARNINGS. Citizens may also register for weather alerts through the city's alert system at www.nolaready.info

"IDA" Extra-Tropical?

Awful lot of dry air rushing in from the west-side. Doesn't even look very tropical to me this morning, but they still have it as a hurricane. Looks like a big rain-maker more than anything to me now. - HLG

Sunday, November 8, 2009

A Little Right of the Track???

Well, looking at the visible loop, it appear Ida is moving a little right of the latest forecast track this afternoon. I just don't think she made it far enough West to cause us too much of trouble ... especially given the fact that there isn't much on the West side of the storm anyway.

"I'm On the MEXICAN ohh ohh, radarioio!"


"IDA" on the bootleg, outlaw, Mexican Radario! Nice, rather largeish eyewall, don't you think? - HLG