Monday, November 1, 2010

INTENSITY MODELS SUK

Well last time I wrote here, "TOMAS" was just becoming a Cat 2, forecast to stay at that, then become a strong 3, somewhere between Haiti and Jamaica.

They the storm raced out from under the convection, and looked to be dying.

Speed ahead 24 hours and "TOMAS" looks like it is rapidly re-organizing, and could be a hurricane again sometime within 24 hours. The late turn in the forecast, straight over Haiti is still in the official forecast, and can't be good news for Haiti.

HLG

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