Finally received a Quikscat image of the system at 12 N 45W - and there isn't much of a circulation in the area - but some nice winds. Buoy 41041 is a few hundred miles away from the area but is not seeing much in the way of wind.
Which all beckons the question - why did Nicole Mitchell wear her bright red outfit today? What the heck is she trying to do? Evacuate the entire East Coast?
Hot Lava has decided against posting on the website anymore, for fear that someone might actually try to remember what he supposedly forecasted. He recently took credit for Bertha's stalling near Bermuda - however I can't find any posts to support his claim... for that matter, I can't find any of the weather studs posts lately.
Must be Bastille Day....
BB
2 comments:
To add to the post - I found what Hot Lava sent in his e-mails. I'll let the dear reader decide if Hot Lava (the geographer) is delusional:
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8 July 2008 -
"You know Bertha looks like a real mystery to me now. I think it may wander around under the Bermuda ridge a while, and who knows where it goes from there."
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Then on 13 July 2008:
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Subject: The Geographer Was Right!
Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2008 09:16:05 +0300
For the record,
Over 5 days ago the geographer boldly predicted, using the keen powers of satellite observation (including radar!) and his incredibly sharp intellect that Bertha would become a stalled storm and drift around
slowly under the weak Bermuda Ridge before recurving!
The NHC stuck with the heavily climo-biased models and took it to the north until this very morning! WRONG!
HL
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Many apologies for not posting recently, but I was on a well deserved vacation to the Adirondack Mountains in Upstate NY, enjoying the warm days and cool nights typical of this time of year.
Indeed, it looks like a couple of the models are picking up the feature in the vicinity of 45W and bringing it along the southern track into the Western Caribbean in the next couple of days. However, it looks like GFS and NOGAPS are not paying it a bit of attention and even the Brits are saying "Nothing to see here, nothing to see". All the while, Bertha hangs out for several more days in the NATL as previously forecast / nowcast by HotLava.
Looking at the latest IR imagery from this evening, it does appear that a circulation is pulling together. Will be interesting to see what the morning passes look like. However, I'm hedging towards Invest 94 being the next TD of the season.
Klingfree
As for Capt. Mitchell, it has been almost two weeks since I have laid eyes on that lovely vision and am suffering from withdrawl.
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