I need a modeling expert to explain TS Hanna. The models have been chaotic with this storm, and I can't even find the thing in stallite images. What do the buoys say?
The models are persistant that a strong hurricane is going to suddenly jump out of the mess in the southern Bahamas and hit GA/SC by Saturday. HUH?
HLG
2 comments:
You should ask your boy "Stewart" about the forecast - since he is the one that provided the 5 am discussion. Whatever hits the East Coast will probably be minimal given the tropical structure of Hanna. The only complicating factor is the Gulf Stream that could feed Hanna before she reaches the coast.
Hanna is in a strong area of difluence but the models show the entire pattern changing today. The low in the northeast will finally move out and allow Hanna to trail in the low's wake. Models are still having a time with Ike - some showing it dying before reaching the coast and others showing a major hurricane in the Caribbean.
BB
Well... I should have read the CIMSS satellite blog to the left, first, before writing my comment.
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/
It gives an excellent description of the shearing over Hanna - and showed (again) why I should hand back my meteorology degree. I should have used the term "Deformation Zone" instead of "Difluence." I apologize for showing my ignorance in this esteemed blog.
BB
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