Monday, August 4, 2008

Let's re-visit the forecast process of "Edourd"

Yesterday at this time (3 August, 0400 PDT) the storm in the Gulf was officially a "Medium" area of formation probability.  So, we never even made it to "High".  Then the  "TD" was numbered, but it turns out it was a TS already.  So, now the storm is named.  Anyone confident it won't make hurricane before landfall, as currently forecast???

HLG
 
 

1 comment:

The Weathergeeks said...

I hearken back to this comment, made by HLG - probably the same thing could be said for Eduardo:

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Tuesday, July 8, 2008
What is wrong with the TC intensity forecasts?
Bertha was just the latest:

It was a TS when forecast to maybe become one,

Then it was a strong TS when forecast to make weak TS,

Hurricane when .... TS,

and now finally,

MAJOR FREAKING HURRICANE, when forecast for days to max out at maybe a weak 2!

What give?
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I'm also seeing one of the "pretty" feeder bands move towards the house. It is beautiful as the sunlight strikes the cumulonimbus. "I love the smell of Malamute in the morning!"

BB