It sure looks like the Center-of-Circulation (COC?) of "FAY", which does sound weird, is now moving, or reorganizing, towards the SW and the fetid waters of the Suwanee Bay. Stay tuned fans.
Looking at the water vapor loop, it seems to me that Fay will start moving northwestward - with the steering being influenced by the upper level trough digging into Louisiana. Looks to be a pretty strong jet streak to Fay's northwest, that might help shear part of the storm.
Well BB, it looks like you were spot on with your analysis. I kept waiting for that large band of rain to move in from the NE today and as I kept updating the radar loop, it looked like it iterally ran into a wall. The band could never advance any further than HBG. Low and behold, I pulled up the Water Vapor Loop and the extent of the UL trough matched up with the furthest extent of the rain band. Good stuff.
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Looking at the water vapor loop, it seems to me that Fay will start moving northwestward - with the steering being influenced by the upper level trough digging into Louisiana. Looks to be a pretty strong jet streak to Fay's northwest, that might help shear part of the storm.
BB
Well BB, it looks like you were spot on with your analysis. I kept waiting for that large band of rain to move in from the NE today and as I kept updating the radar loop, it looked like it iterally ran into a wall. The band could never advance any further than HBG. Low and behold, I pulled up the Water Vapor Loop and the extent of the UL trough matched up with the furthest extent of the rain band. Good stuff.
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