Would it kill the NHC forecasters if they mentioned how ocean temperatures might affect Swirly Thing Fay? Looking at the sea surface temperature satellite obs, buoy obs and the NRL Hurricane Heat Potential maps (http://www7320.nrlssc.navy.mil/hhc/ias/hh3.ias.20080822.gif) one can see that:
1. Ocean conditions are not "ripe" to strengthen Fay if she moves over water, and
2. Northerly winds on the east side of Fay will promote upwelling off the Gulf Coast, thus limiting Fay's potential even more.
As John Lennon once said, "I am the oceanographer (woo), they are the oceanographers (woo), I am the walrus, Coo coo, kachoo."
BB
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