One minute the GFDL model has a CAT 5 in the Gulf, the next minute it has tropical showers in Florida. The 18Z run tonight has a CAT 4 in the central Gulf - two days after the anniversary of Katrina. It is almost diurnal in its hurricane intensity forecasts...
Implications - oil and gas platforms, central Gulf Coast recovery, New Orleans levees. Larster said he didn't like this one, the name Gustav, as soon as he saw it. Almost like Katrina's boyfriend. Let's hope it dies in Cuba and never returns.
BB
1 comment:
In looking at the trends of the models for the last three runs you can see that they have all pulled it further south and to the west (except CLPS which takes it up the east coast of Florida) than the current forecast track. If these trends continue, that will clearly be good for us. It is certainly going to be scary for a while. I have a few butterflies at the moment just at the thought of it. gg
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